Saturday, April 24, 2021

200 Moving Average - Rules-based methodologies.

The Index uses an objective, rules-based methodology to implement a systematic trend-following strategy that directs exposure 

(i) 100% to the S&P 500®

(ii) 50% to the S&P 500 and 50% to 3-Month US Treasury bills, or 

(iii) 100% to 3-Month US Treasury bills, depending on the relative performance of the S&P 500 and its 200 business day historical simple moving average (the “200-day moving average”). 


Equity Indicator. When the S&P 500 closes above its 200-day moving average for five consecutive business days (the “Equity Indicator”), the exposure of the Index will be 100% to the S&P 500, effective at the close of business on the first business day following the date of the Equity Indicator. The Index will be in a new position effective on the second business day.

Once the Equity Indicator has been triggered, the exposure of the Index will next change to either be 50% to the S&P 500 and 50% to 3-Month US Treasury bills if the 50/50 Indicator (described below) is triggered or 100% to 3-Month US  Treasury bills if both the 50/50 Indicator and the T-Bill Indicator (described below) are triggered simultaneously, effective  at the close of business on the first business day following the date of the indicator(s). The Index will be in a new position  effective on the second business day.


50/50 Indicator. When the S&P 500 closes below its 200-day moving average for five consecutive business days (the “50/50 Indicator”), the exposure of the Index will be 50% to the S&P 500 and 50% to 3-Month US Treasury bills, effective at the close of business on the first business day following the date of the 50/50 Indicator. The Index will be in a new position effective on the second business day. Following the effectiveness of the 50/50 Indicator, the exposure of the Index may be greater than or less than 50% with respect to the S&P 500 and 3-Month US Treasury bills depending on their respective performance until either the Equity Indicator or T-Bill Indicator (described below) is triggered. Once the 50/50 Indicator has been triggered, the exposure of the Index will next change to either be 100% to the S&P 500 if the Equity Indicator is triggered or 100% to 3-Month US Treasury bills if the T-Bill Indicator (described below) is triggered, effective at the close of business on the first business day following the date of the indicator. The Index will be in a new position effective on the second business day.


T-Bill Indicator. When the S&P 500’s 200-day moving average closes lower than its value from five business days earlier (the “T-Bill Indicator”) and the 50/50 Indicator has been triggered, the exposure of the Index will be 100% to 3-Month US Treasury bills, effective at the close of business on the first business day following the date of the T-Bill Indicator. The Index will be in a new position effective on the second business day.

For example, if today is Wednesday and the S&P 500’s 200-day moving average closes lower than it did on the fifth preceding business day (Wednesday of the preceding week), the T-Bill Indicator is triggered. Unlike the operation of the Equity Indicator and 50/50 Indicator, the closing values on the days in between today and the fifth preceding business day do not affect whether the T-Bill Indicator has been triggered; rather, the T-Bill Indicator simply compares today’s closing value to the closing value five business days earlier. However, the Index will not move directly from 100% exposure to the S&P 500 to 100% exposure to 3-Month US Treasury bills unless the 50/50 Indicator was simultaneously triggered following the most recent triggering of the Equity Indicator.

Once the T-Bill Indicator has been triggered, the exposure of the Index will next change to be 100% to the S&P 500 if the Equity Indicator is triggered, effective at the close of business on the first business day following the date of the indicator. The Index will be in a new position effective on the second business day. Once the T-Bill Indicator has been triggered, the Index will not return to its 50/50 position unless the Equity Indicator is first triggered, followed by the 50/50 Indicator being triggered.